Ny, July 14, 2024 – The rapid integration of the Chinese yuan into the Russian economy, which accelerated following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, is facing obstacles. According to a Bloomberg report, Russia is facing a shortage of yuan and Chinese banks are hesitant to provide liquidity due to fears of secondary sanctions from the US.
The shortage of yuan and the cautious approach of Chinese banks are making it difficult for Russian companies to finance trade with China. This could lead to a slowdown in trade growth between the two countries and an increase in ruble volatility.
The threat of US sanctions has also dramatically increased the difference in interest rates between the yuan and the ruble. This could discourage other countries from accepting yuan as payment for goods and services.
The slowdown in trade growth between China and Russia in the first five months of 2024 suggests that the adoption of the yuan in Russia may have peaked. Further growth in the yuan’s influence on the Russian economy could be limited by obstacles such as the shortage of yuan, the cautious approach of Chinese banks, and the low willingness of other countries to accept yuan.
In addition to these obstacles, there are other factors that could affect the yuan’s influence in Russia:
- Yuan volatility: The yuan exchange rate can be volatile, which can complicate trading.
- Inadequate infrastructure: Russia does not have a sufficiently developed infrastructure for trading in yuan.
- Reluctance of other countries: Many countries are still reluctant to accept yuan as payment for goods and services.
The situation with the yuan in the Russian economy is evolving rapidly and it is important to follow the latest news and analysis.
